06/11/2026
📣IMPORTANT INFROMATION JUST RECEIVED FROM US National Weather Service Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley Texas
TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA
*️⃣ Friday through this weekend: An influx of tropical moisture and broad area of low pressure from a westward moving tropical wave will result in increasing rain chances beginning Friday and continuing through the weekend.
⏺️ This should result in a more active sea breeze each day, but the anomalously high moisture content may support additional waves of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms each day.
⏺️ Any showers and thunderstorms this weekend are expected to be efficient rainmakers given the ultra-moist profile of the atmosphere.
⚫️ Brief locally heavy rain, with isolated amounts upwards of 1 to 2 inches, cannot be ruled out with any robust activity.
*️⃣ Early next week: Unsettled weather continues into early next week as remnant tropical moisture interacts with an approaching cold front.
⏺️ While there remains uncertainty in the evolution, timing, and rainfall amounts, this is a favorable set up for heavy rain which may result in isolated flash flooding across portions of the region.
⏺️ The Weather Prediction Center has placed all of Deep South Texas under a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Monday and Monday Night.
⚫️ Excessive rainfall risks only go out five days in advance, so it is possible that we could see the risk continue Tuesday into Wednesday.
⏺️ While it is still too early to pin down location-specific rainfall amounts, probabilistic guidance indicates around 1 to 3 inches for all locations, with a low (10% or less) chance of amounts up to 4 inches from Monday into Wednesday across portions of the region.
⏺️ It is still very early, and amounts may change, please don't anchor to any specific amount.
⏺️ Stay tuned to updates over the next few days.