08/26/2026
๐ WEDNESDAY TROPICAL UPDATE | AUGUST 26, 2026
Gilchrist County Emergency Management continues to monitor Invest 96L in the eastern tropical Atlantic.
There is some encouraging news in todayโs update. The chance for development has decreased from yesterday, and computer models have generally backed off on how much strengthening may occur.
๐น Invest 96L currently has a 60% chance of development over the next 48 hours and the next 7 days.
๐น The system remains disorganized and does not currently have a closed circulation.
๐น A tropical depression or weak tropical storm could still briefly form over the next day or two as the system moves west to west-northwest across the Atlantic.
๐น By this weekend, conditions are expected to become increasingly unfavorable for development, including dry Saharan air and stronger wind shear. Some guidance indicates the system could remain an open tropical wave or dissipate altogether.
๐น Forecast guidance is increasingly favoring a weaker system remaining farther south as it crosses the Atlantic. However, there is still uncertainty regarding what remains of the system as we move into next week.
โ ๏ธ At this time, it is still too early to determine what, if any, impacts Invest 96L could eventually have on Florida.
Here at home, we also need to keep an eye on our day-to-day weather. An unsettled pattern will continue across North Florida, bringing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. Any stronger storms could produce gusty winds, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall, and North Florida has a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) for flash flooding Thursday and Friday.
For Gilchrist County, this remains a stay informed and stay prepared situationโnot a reason for alarm.
๐ฑ If you haven't already, make sure you are signed up for Alert Gilchrist to receive official emergency notifications:
https://member.everbridge.net/892807736725578/notif
๐ Continue following the National Hurricane Center:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Gilchrist County Emergency Management will continue monitoring the tropics and provide additional updates as needed.
Stay prepared. Stay informed. Stay weather aware, Gilchrist County.