Centre for Eastern Studies - OSW

26/08/2026

Turkey 🇹🇷: selective amnesty for PKK members

➡️The law does not address the Kurdish movement’s key political demands and does not guarantee the success of the peace process.

➡️By Zuzanna Krzyżanowska and Adam Michalski.
https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/analyses/2026-08-11/turkey-selective-amnesty-pkk-members

25/08/2026

Following Beijing’s lead, the Kremlin hardens its stance towards Tokyo

The deterioration in relations with Japan, provoked by the Kremlin, comes amid renewed tensions in Sino-Japanese relations.

By Witold Rodkiewicz ⤵️
https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/analyses/2026-08-19/following-beijings-lead-kremlin-hardens-its-stance-towards-tokyo

24/08/2026

🔵The Ukrainian🇺🇦Russian🇷🇺 battle of the flags. The offensive that never was

🔵Reports of a large-scale Ukrainian offensive operation in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast do not correspond to the situation on the ground.

Andrzej Wilk has more⤵️
https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/analyses/2026-08-18/ukrainian-russian-battle-flags-offensive-never-was

21/08/2026

🔵The Mecca agreement: a loose alliance between Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey

🔵Regardless of its political and symbolic significance, the Mecca agreement does not currently represent a genuine military alliance.

🔵By OSW's Krzysztof Strachota & Adam Michalski ⤵️

On 7 August, in Mecca, Turkey, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, which aims to enhance collective deterrence and improve coordination and integration of the three countries’ defence capabilities. In a joint statement, the signatories declared that an armed attack ...

18/08/2026

For and even against: 100 days of Radev’s government in Bulgaria

🇧🇬Radev’s government supports further🇪🇺EU enlargement... and is unlikely to oppose the opening of further negotiating clusters with🇺🇦Ukraine and Moldova🇲🇩.

Jan Nowinowski has more⤵️
https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/analyses/2026-08-17/and-even-against-100-days-radevs-government-bulgaria

17/08/2026

➡️Zelensky in Belgrade 🇷🇸: Kyiv’s interests, a fig leaf for Vučić and outrage in Kosovo

🔵Zelensky’s visit to Belgrade was aimed at ensuring the continued supply of Serbian arms.
🔵Jan Nowinowski & Kacper Sienicki have more⤵️
https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/analyses/2026-08-11/zelensky-belgrade-kyivs-interests-a-fig-leaf-vucic-and-outrage

13/08/2026

🔵Armed drone found at Leipzig Airport

🔵German 🇩🇪 airports regularly report unauthorised drone activity, although in most cases the authorities are unable to identify either the operators or their motives.

By OSW's Kamil Frymark ⤵️

11/08/2026

Latvia 🇱🇻: border closure with Belarus emerges as an election campaign issue

🔵The Interior Ministry’s actions are likely to raise doubts within the EU about the consistency and predictability of Latvia’s policy.

🔵By Bartosz Chmielewski ⤵️

05/08/2026

➡️We highly recommend our latest video that is a deep dive into understanding how Russians 🇷🇺 think and look at the world & their place in it.

🔵 Maria Domańska and Russian writer Sergei Lebedev are our guides to understanding the Russian psyche.

🎞️https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_w9qsi6efo&t=1s

05/08/2026

Catching the last train: Montenegro 🇲🇪 on the road to EU 🇪🇺 membership

➡️Since 2024, Montenegro’s accession negotiations have accelerated markedly. The country aims to conclude the talks in 2026 and join the EU by the end of 2028.

🔵By OSW's Jan Nowinowski ⤵️

Twenty years after declaring independence, Montenegro is the most advanced candidate currently in the EU accession process. Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has provided fresh impetus to EU enlargement, not only in the eastern neighbourhood but also in the Western Balkans. Since 2024, Monte...