23/10/2024
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 15
Severe Tropical Storm (TRAMI)
Issued at 11:00 PM, 23 October 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 2:00 AM tomorrow.
“KRISTINE” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AND IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER ISABELA.
Location of Center (10:00 PM):
The center of Severe Tropical Storm KRISTINE was estimated based on all available data over the coastal waters of Palanan, Isabela (17.2°N, 122.8°E)
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 130 km/h, and central pressure of 985 hPa
Present Movement:
Northwestward at 20 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong to storm-force winds extend outwards up to 730 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No.3
Wind threat: Storm-force winds
Luzon:
Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, the southern portion of Abra (Malibcong, Licuan-Baay, Sallapadan, Daguioman, Bucloc, Boliney, Tubo, Luba, Manabo, Bucay, Villaviciosa, Pilar, San Isidro, Peñarrubia), Benguet, the northern and central portions of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran, Dinalungan, Dipaculao, Maria Aurora, Baler), the northern portion of Nueva Ecija (Carranglan, Lupao, San Jose City, Pantabangan, Guimba, Santo Domingo, Talavera, Llanera, Rizal, Bongabon, Talugtug, Science City of Muñoz, Cuyapo, Nampicuan), the northern portion of Tarlac (Mayantoc, San Clemente, Camiling, Santa Ignacia, Gerona, Paniqui, Moncada, San Manuel, Anao, Ramos, Pura, Victoria), the northern portion of Zambales (Candelaria, Santa Cruz, Masinloc), Pangasinan, La Union, and the central and southern portions of Ilocos Sur (Cervantes, Quirino, Sigay, Suyo, Alilem, Sugpon, Tagudin, Santa Cruz, Salcedo, Gregorio del Pilar, San Emilio, Lidlidda, Burgos, San Esteban, Santiago, Banayoyo, Galimuyod, City of Candon, Santa Lucia, Nagbukel, Santa Maria, Narvacan)
Warning lead time: 18 hours
Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property
TCWS No.2
Wind threat: Gale-force winds
Luzon:
Ilocos Norte, the rest of Ilocos Sur, Apayao, the rest of Abra, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, the rest of Aurora, the rest of Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, the rest of Tarlac, Pampanga, the rest of Zambales, Bataan, Metro Manila, Cavite, Laguna, Rizal, Batangas, the northern and central portions of Quezon (Pitogo, Lucena City, Calauag, Pagbilao, Infanta, Tiaong, Lopez, Guinayangan, Unisan, General Luna, Plaridel, Quezon, San Antonio, Alabat, Candelaria, Lucban, Sampaloc, Padre Burgos, Sariaya, City of Tayabas, Macalelon, Mauban, Dolores, General Nakar, Perez, Agdangan, Gumaca, Atimonan, Real, Tagkawayan) including Polillo Islands, and the northwestern portion of Camarines Norte (Santa Elena, Vinzons, Labo, Capalonga, Paracale, San Vicente, Talisay, Daet, Jose Panganiban)
Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• KRISTINE is about to make landfall over Isabela and is forecast to cross Northern Luzon over the next 12 hours. After traversing the mountainous terrain of Northern Luzon, the center of the severe tropical storm may emerge over the waters west of Ilocos Region tomorrow (24 October) morning or afternoon. KRISTINE will then move westward or west northwestward over the West Philippine Sea and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) region on Friday (25 October) afternoon.
• KRISTINE may slightly weaken while crossing Northern Luzon due to land interaction, with downgrading into a tropical storm not ruled out. However, re-intensification may occur once the tropical cyclone moves over the West Philippine Sea.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 2:00 AM tomorrow.
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In Case of Emergency:
Dial 911
Barangay Hotline Numbers:
Mobile: 0970 573 0136
Landline: 047-222-8037