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KKDAT Barangay Pinopoc, Pinopoc, Alcala (2026)

18/11/2024

Magat Dam as of 10:00 AM, November 18, 2024
Reservoir Water Level = 191.50 masl
Inflow = 5799.52 cms
Total Outflow = 1434.61 cms
388 MW Magat HPP Discharge = 168.61 cms
Rule curve = 190.52 masl
4 Spillway Gate Open
Total Opening = 7 Meters
Spillway Discharge= 1266.00cms
NORMAL HIGH WATER LEVEL = 193.00masl
Total Discharge to River = 1313.52cms
Maris Dam Elev.= 104.05masl
-NIA MARIIS - DRD - FFWSDO

15/11/2024

Cagayan River Basin Flood Bulletin No. 9
Issued @ 5AM, 15 November 2024

15/11/2024

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 19
Typhoon (USAGI)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 15 November 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.
“OFEL” CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER LUZON STRAIT.
• Location of Center (4:00 AM):
The center of Typhoon OFEL was estimated based on all available data at 100 km Northwest of Calayan, Cagayan (19.8°N, 120.7°E).
• Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 150 km/h, and central pressure of 975 hPa
• Present Movement:
North northwestward at 20 km/h
• Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 340 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No.3
• Wind threat:Storm-force winds
• Warning lead time: 18 hours
• Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
• Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property
LUZON:
The western portion of Babuyan Islands (Calayan, Is., Dalupiri Is., Fuga Is.), the northwesternmost portion of mainland Cagayan (Claveria, Santa Praxedes), and the northernmost portion of Ilocos Norte (Pagudpud)
TCWS No.2
• Wind threat: Gale-force winds
• Warning lead time: 24 hours
• Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
• Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
LUZON:
The rest of Babuyan Island, the northwestern portion of mainland Cagayan (Sanchez-Mira, Pamplona, Abulug, Ballesteros), the northern portion of Apayao (Calanasan, Luna, Santa Marcela), and the northern portion of Ilocos Norte (Piddig, Bacarra, Adams, Dumalneg, Vintar, Bangui, Burgos, Pasuquin, Carasi)
TCWS No.1
• Wind threat: Strong winds
• Warning lead time: 36 hours
• Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
• Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
LUZON:
Batanes, the rest of Cagayan, the northern portion of Isabela (Quezon, Cabagan, Santa Maria, San Pablo, Maconacon, Santo Tomas, Delfin Albano, Tumauini), the rest of Apayao, Kalinga, the northern and central portions of Abra (Manabo, Pidigan, Tayum, Langiden, Boliney, Sallapadan, Bucloc, La Paz, Peñarrubia, Dolores, Bangued, Bucay, Daguioman, Lacub, Tineg, Lagayan, Licuan-Baay, Malibcong, San Juan, Lagangilang, Danglas), the rest of Ilocos Norte, and the northern portion of Ilocos Sur (Sinait, Cabugao, San Juan, San Ildefonso, Magsingal, Santo Domingo, Bantay, San Vicente)
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
○ Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 36 issued at 5:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to “OFEL” and “PEPITO”.
○ Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No 3.
• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
○ Coastal Inundation
There is a high risk of life-threatening storm surge with peak heights up to 3.0 m in the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Batanes, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, and Isabela. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 11 issued at 2:00 AM today for more details.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is hoisted over the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Luzon. Refer to Gale Warning No. 6 issued at 5:00 AM today for more details.
○ 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 5.0 m: The seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands
• Up to 4.5 m: The northern seaboards of Ilocos Norte and mainland Cagayan
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan; the seaboard of Isabela
• Up to 3.5 m: The eastern seaboards of Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte including Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands, Surigao del Sur, and Davao Oriental
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon; the northern seaboard of Northern Samar
• Up to 2.0 m: The western seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the seaboards of Aurora and Camarines Norte; the eastern seaboard of Quezon including Polillo Islands; the northern and eastern seaboards of Camarines Sur; the remaining seaboard of Catanduanes
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• OFEL will continue to move north northwestward and may exit the northwestern boundary of PAR this afternoon. Outside PAR, the tropical cyclone will then move generally northward until tomorrow (16 November) morning over the sea west of Batanes. OFEL may then re-enter the PAR region as it turns generally northeastward towards southern Taiwan and will remain inside PAR until the rest of the forecast period.
• Despite exiting the PAR region, a tropical cyclone wind signal may still be raised over the areas of Extreme Northern Luzon. OFEL is forecast to further weaken throughout the forecast period due to the increasingly unfavorable environment from Luzon Strait up to the sea east of Taiwan, where OFEL may weaken into a remnant Low.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 AM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Links:
➣ TC Bulletin for Ofel: tinyurl.com/tcofel
➣ Weather Advisory: tinyurl.com/wx-adv
➣ Gale Warning: tinyurl.com/wx-gale
➣ Storm Surge: tinyurl.com/wx-surge
➣ TC Warning Agriculture: tinyurl.com/tc-warning-agri

15/11/2024

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 2
Severe Tropical Storm (MAN-YI)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 15 November 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.
“PEPITO” FURTHER INTENSIFIES AND IS NEARING TYPHOON CATEGORY.
• Location of Center (4:00 AM):
The center of Severe Tropical Storm PEPITO was estimated based on all available data at 795 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.4°N, 133.0°E).
• Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 135 km/h, and central pressure of 980 hPa
• Present Movement:
Westward at 25 km/h
• Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong to storm-force winds extend outwards up to 380 km from the center
TCWS No.1
• Wind threat: Strong winds
• Warning lead time: 36 hours
• Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
• Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
LUZON:
Catanduanes, the eastern portion of Camarines Norte (Vinzons, Talisay, Daet, Mercedes, Basud), the eastern portion of Camarines Sur (Caramoan, Garchitorena, Presentacion, San Jose, Lagonoy, Tinambac, Goa, Siruma, Tigaon, Sagñay, Calabanga, Naga City, Magarao, Bombon, Pili, Ocampo, Iriga City, Buhi), the eastern portion of Albay (Rapu-Rapu, City of Tabaco, Malilipot, Santo Domingo, Bacacay, Legazpi City, Malinao, Manito, Tiwi), and the eastern and southern portions of Sorsogon (Juban, City of Sorsogon, Barcelona, Bulusan, Magallanes, Gubat, Santa Magdalena, Casiguran, Bulan, Irosin, Matnog, Prieto Diaz, Castilla)
VISAYAS:
Northern Samar, the northern portion of Eastern Samar (San Policarpo, Arteche, Jipapad, Maslog, Oras, Dolores, Can-Avid), and the northeastern portion of Samar (Matuguinao, San Jose de Buan)
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
○ Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Severe Tropical Storm PEPITO is currently not directly affecting any part of the country. However, a Weather Advisory No. 36 was issued at 5 AM today in anticipation of the heavy rainfall caused by PEPITO, apart from those caused by OFEL.
○ Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The highest Wind Signal which may be hoisted during the occurrence of PEPITO is Wind Signal No. 5.
○ Coastal Inundation
There is a moderate to high risk of life-threatening storm surge reaching 2.0 to 3.0 m above normal tide levels in the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, and Samar. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 1 issued at 2:00 AM today for the details.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
Currently, there is no gale warning raised associated with PEPITO. However, a Gale Warning is hoisted over the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Luzon due to the occurrence of OFEL. Refer to Gale Warning No. 6 issued at 5:00 AM today for more details.
○ 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 5.0 m: The seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands
• Up to 4.5 m: The northern seaboards of Ilocos Norte and mainland Cagayan
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan; the seaboard of Isabela
• Up to 3.5 m: The eastern seaboards of Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte including Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands, Surigao del Sur, and Davao Oriental
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon; the northern seaboard of Northern Samar
• Up to 2.0 m: The western seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the seaboards of Aurora and Camarines Norte; the eastern seaboard of Quezon including Polillo Islands; the northern and eastern seaboards of Camarines Sur; the remaining seaboard of Catanduanes
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• Due to the high pressure area over the south of Japan, PEPITO is forecast to move westward over the next 12 hours before turning west northwestward to northwestward over the Philippine Sea. On the track forecast, PEPITO may make landfall over the eastern coast of Central and/or Southern Luzon during the weekend. This tropical cyclone may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Monday (18 November) afternoon or evening. Regardless of the position of the landfall point, it must be emphasized that hazards on land and coastal waters may still be experienced in areas outside the landfall point or forecast confidence cone. It must also be emphasized that the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. Therefore, the landfall point may also shift within the range of the forecast confidence cone from the eastern coast of eastern coast of Eastern Visayas to the eastern coast of Central Luzon.
• PEPITO is forecast to intensify into a typhoon within the next 12 hours and it may reach super typhoon category by tomorrow (16 November) evening and may possibly make landfall at peak intensity. It will continue to bring violent conditions over the coastal areas of Southern Luzon and Central Luzon until Sunday (17 November) prior to a second landfall over the eastern section of Central or Southern Luzon. A weakening trend is expected from Sunday onwards as PEPITO traverses mainland Luzon until it exits the PAR region.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 AM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Links:
➣ TC Bulletin for Pepito: tinyurl.com/tc-pepito
➣ Weather Advisory: tinyurl.com/wx-adv
➣ Gale Warning: tinyurl.com/wx-gale
➣ Storm Surge: tinyurl.com/wx-surge
➣ TC Warning Agriculture: tinyurl.com/tc-warning-agri

14/11/2024

Weather Advisory No. 34
For: Tropical Cyclone and
Issued at: Nov. 14, 2024, 11 p.m.
Heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone OFEL and PEPITO
Tonight to tomorrow evening (November 15)
Heavy to Intense (100-200 mm):
Batanes and Cagayan
Moderate to Heavy (50-100 mm):
Ilocos Norte, Apayao, and Abra
Tomorrow evening to Saturday evening (November 16)
Heavy to Intense (100-200 mm):
Catanduanes, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, and Sorsogon
Moderate to Heavy (50-100 mm):
Batanes, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Albay, Masbate, Leyte, Samar, and Biliran
Saturday evening to Sunday evening (November 17)
Intense to Torrential (>200 mm):
Quezon, Aurora, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes
Heavy to Intense (100-200 mm):
Northern Samar, Albay, Sorsogon, Marinduque, Laguna, Rizal, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, and Aurora
Moderate to Heavy (50-100 mm):
Metro Manila, Bataan, Cavite, Zambales, Tarlac, Batangas, Pampanga, Leyte, Masbate, Romblon, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Pangasinan, Nueva Vizcaya, and Quirino
Forecast rainfall may be higher in mountainous and elevated areas. Moreover, impacts in some areas maybe worsened by significant antecedent rainfall.
The public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue Heavy Rainfall Warnings, Rainfall/Thunderstorms Advisories, and other severe weather information specific to their areas of responsibility as appropriate.
Unless significant changes occur, the next Weather Advisory will be issued at 2:00 AM tomorrow.

14/11/2024

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 17
Typhoon (USAGI)
Issued at 11:00 PM, 14 November 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 2:00 AM tomorrow.
“OFEL” FURTHER WEAKENS WHILE PASSING THROUGH BABUYAN ISLANDS.
Location of Center (10:00 PM):
The center of Typhoon OFEL was estimated based on all available data over the coastal waters of Calayan, Cagayan (18.7°N, 121.5°E).
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 130 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 200 km/h, and central pressure of 970 hPa
Present Movement:
Northwestward at 15 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 360 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No.4
LUZON:
The northern portion of Cagayan (Santa Teresita, Ballesteros, Aparri, Camalaniugan, Buguey, Gonzaga, Santa Ana, Abulug, Pamplona, Sanchez-Mira, Claveria, Santa Praxedes, Lal-Lo, Allacapan) including Babuyan Islands
Wind threat: Typhoon-force winds
Warning lead time: 12 hours
Range of wind speeds: 118 to 184 km/h (Beaufort 12)
Potential impacts of winds: Significant to severe threat to life and property
TCWS No.3
LUZON:
The southern portion of Batanes (Basco, Mahatao, Ivana, Uyugan, Sabtang), the central and southeastern portions of mainland Cagayan (Lasam, Alcala, Amulung, Iguig, Santo Niño, Rizal, Piat, Peñablanca, Baggao, Gattaran), the northern and central portions of Apayao (Flora, Pudtol, Kabugao, Calanasan, Luna, Santa Marcela), and the northern portion of Ilocos Norte (Adams, Dumalneg, Bangui, Pagudpud, Pasuquin, Burgos, Vintar, Carasi)
Wind threat: Storm-force winds
Warning lead time: 18 hours
Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property
TCWS No.2
LUZON:
The rest of Batanes, the rest of Cagayan, the northern portion of Isabela (Quezon, Delfin Albano, Tumauini, Maconacon, Cabagan, San Pablo, Santo Tomas, Santa Maria), the rest of Apayao, the northern portion of Kalinga (Pinukpuk, Rizal, City of Tabuk, Balbalan), the northern portion of Abra (Tineg, Lacub, Malibcong, Lagayan, San Juan, Lagangilang, Licuan-Baay, Daguioman), and the rest of Ilocos Norte
Wind threat: Gale-force winds
Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
TCWS No.1
LUZON:
The rest of Isabela, the northeastern portion of Quirino (Maddela), the rest of Abra, the rest of Kalinga, Mountain Province, the northern portion of Ifugao (Aguinaldo, Banaue, Mayoyao, Hingyon, Hungduan, Lagawe, Kiangan, Alfonso Lista), the northern and central portions of Ilocos Sur (Sinait, Cabugao, San Juan, San Ildefonso, Magsingal, Santo Domingo, Bantay, San Vicente, City of Vigan, Caoayan, Santa Catalina, Santa, Nagbukel, Narvacan, Gregorio del Pilar, San Esteban, Banayoyo, Cervantes, Burgos, City of Candon, Santa Lucia, Santiago, Lidlidda, Suyo, Sigay, Galimuyod, Quirino, San Emilio, Santa Cruz, Santa Maria, Salcedo), and the northern portion of Aurora (Casiguran, Dilasag)
Wind threat: Strong winds
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 34 issued at 11:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to “OFEL” and “PEPITO”.
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Significant to severe impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 4.
• Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No 3.
• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
Coastal Inundation
There is a high risk of life-threatening storm surge with peak heights exceeding 3.0 m in the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Batanes, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, and northern Aurora. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 10 issued at 8:00 PM today for the details.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is hoisted over the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Luzon. Refer to Gale Warning No. 5A issued at 11:00 PM today for more details.
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough or high seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 8.0 m: The seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands
• Up to 7.0 m: The northern seaboards of Ilocos Norte and mainland Cagayan
• Up to 5.5 m: The eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The seaboards of Isabela and northern Aurora
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The western seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes and Northern Samar; the eastern seaboards of Albay, Sorsogon, Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte including Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands, Surigao del Sur, and Davao Oriental
• Up to 2.0 m: The remaining seaboard of Aurora; the eastern seaboard of Quezon including Polillo Islands; the seaboard of Camarines Norte; the northern and eastern seaboards of Camarines Sur; the remaining seaboard of Catanduanes
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• OFEL will continue moving northwestward and pass close or make landfall in the vicinity of Babuyan Islands tonight before turning north northwestward to northward tomorrow (15 November) until Saturday (16 November) morning over the sea west of Batanes. This is the period when the tropical cyclone is outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). OFEL will then turn northeastward towards Taiwan while re-entering the PAR over the rest of the weekend. Note that hazards on land and coastal waters may still be experienced in areas outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• OFEL is forecast to continue to weaken throughout the forecast period due to frictional effects of land as well as the increasingly unfavorable environment over the Luzon Strait and the sea east of Taiwan, where OFEL may weaken into a remnant Low.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 2:00 AM tomorrow.
DOST-PAGASA
Links:
➣ TC Bulletin for Ofel: http://tinyurl.com/tcofel
➣ Weather Advisory: http://tinyurl.com/wx-adv
➣ Gale Warning: http://tinyurl.com/wx-gale
➣ Storm Surge: http://tinyurl.com/wx-surge
➣ TC Warning Agriculture: http://tinyurl.com/tc-warning-agri

14/11/2024

TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
At 8:00 PM today, Tropical Cyclone Man-Yi intensified into a Severe Tropical Storm and entered the PAR. It has been assigned the domestic name PEPITO. Tropical Cyclone Bulletins will be issued beginning at 11:00 PM today.
All are advised to monitor updates from DOST-PAGASA

14/11/2024

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 16
Typhoon (USAGI)
Issued at 8:00 PM, 14 November 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 PM today.
“OFEL” CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND SLIGHTLY DECELERATES TOWARDS BABUYAN ISLANDS
Location of Center (7:00 PM):
The center of Typhoon OFEL was estimated based on all available data over the coastal waters of Santa Teresita, Cagayan (18.3°N, 121.9°E).
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 255 km/h, and central pressure of 955 hPa
Present Movement:
North northwestward at 15 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 360 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No.4
LUZON:
Babuyan Islands and the northern and eastern portions of mainland Cagayan (anta Teresita, Ballesteros, Aparri, Camalaniugan, Buguey, Lal-Lo, Allacapan, Gattaran, Baggao, Gonzaga, Santa Ana, Abulug, Pamplona, Sanchez-Mira, Claveria, Santa Praxedes)
Wind threat: Typhoon-force winds
Warning lead time: 12 hours
Range of wind speeds: 118 to 184 km/h (Beaufort 12)
Potential impacts of winds: Significant to severe threat to life and property
TCWS No.3
LUZON:
Batanes, the rest of Cagayan, the northern portion of Isabela (San Pablo, Cabagan, Santa Maria, Santo Tomas, Maconacon), the northern portion of Apayao (Flora, Santa Marcela, Luna, Pudtol, Calanasan, Kabugao), and the northern portion of Ilocos Norte (Pagudpud, Adams, Dumalneg)
Wind threat: Storm-force winds
Warning lead time: 18 hours
Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property
TCWS No.2
LUZON:
The western and eastern portions of Isabela (Quezon, Quirino, Mallig, San Manuel, Aurora, Cabatuan, City of Cauayan, Benito Soliven, Naguilian, Gamu, Burgos, Reina Mercedes, Luna, Roxas, San Mariano, Palanan, Ilagan City, Divilacan, Dinapigue, Delfin Albano, Tumauin), the rest of Apayao, Kalinga, the northeastern portion of Abra (Tineg, Lacub, Malibcong, Lagayan, San Juan, Lagangilang, Licuan-Baay, Daguioman), the eastern portion of Mountain Province (Paracelis), and the rest of Ilocos Norte.
Wind threat: Gale-force winds
Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
TCWS No.1
LUZON:
The rest of Isabela, the northern portion of Quirino (Cabarroguis, Diffun, Saguday, Maddela, Aglipay), the northern portion of Nueva Vizcaya (Solano, Bagabag, Diadi, Villaverde), the rest of Mountain Province, Ifugao, the rest of Abra, the northern portion of Benguet (Mankayan, Bakun, Buguias), Ilocos Sur, the northern portion of La Union (Sudipen, Bangar), and the northern portion of Aurora (Casiguran, Dinalungan, Dilasag).
Wind threat: Strong winds
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 33 issued at 8:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to “OFEL” and {MAN-YI}.
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Significant to severe impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 4.
• Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No 3.
• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
Coastal Inundation
There is a high risk of life-threatening storm surge with peak heights exceeding 3.0 m in the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Batanes, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, and northern Aurora. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 10 issued at 8:00 PM today for the details.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is hoisted over the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Central Luzon. Refer to Gale Warning No. 4 issued at 5:00 PM today for more details.
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough or high seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 10.0 m: The seaboard of Cagayan including Babuyan Islands
• Up to 7.0 m: The seaboard of Batanes and the northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The seaboard of Isabela and the northern seaboard of Aurora
• Up to 3.0 m: The remaining seaboard of Aurora and Ilocos Norte, the seaboard of northern mainland Quezon, the northern and eastern seaboard of Polillo Islands.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The seaboard of Camarines Norte and Ilocos Sur, the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes
• Up to 2.0 m: The eastern seaboard of mainland Quezon, Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, and Eastern Samar; the remaining seaboard of Catanduanes; the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• OFEL will continue moving northwestward and pass close or make landfall in the vicinity of Babuyan Islands tonight before turning northward tomorrow (15 November) over the sea west of Batanes, then northeastward towards Taiwan during the weekend. Note that hazards on land and coastal waters may still be experienced in areas outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• OFEL is forecast to continue to weaken throughout the forecast period due to frictional effects of land, as well as the increasingly unfavorable environment over the Luzon Strait and the sea east of Taiwan.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 8:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Links:
➣ TC Bulletin for Ofel: http://tinyurl.com/tcofel
➣ Weather Advisory: http://tinyurl.com/wx-adv
➣ Gale Warning: http://tinyurl.com/wx-gale
➣ Storm Surge: http://tinyurl.com/wx-surge
➣ TC Warning Agriculture: http://tinyurl.com/tc-warning-agri

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