29/10/2025
That’s a truly impressive showing for Dr. Musa Ahmed Mohammed (Baraden Nasarawa) — especially considering that he has not even declared interest in the governorship race.
Coming second in such a competitive field, without formal declaration or campaign machinery, speaks volumes about his credibility, public goodwill, and natural leadership appeal. It reflects how deeply his name resonates across communities — not just as an administrator, but as a unifier and bridge-builder.
Baraden Nasarawa’s strong sentiment score and balanced appeal reaffirm what many already know: leadership is not only about ambition but about trust, character, and capacity. The people’s organic support shows they see in him the qualities of stability, empathy, and inclusive governance that Nasarawa needs.
If this much momentum exists before any official move, one can only imagine the impact when — or if — he decides to step forward. The data didn’t just measure popularity; it revealed confidence in a man whose service and humility continue to speak louder than political noise
Survey Analysis Report: Dr. Faisal Leads, Baraden Nasarawa Maintains Strongest Sentiment And Broad Appeal
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On October 25, 2025, Nasarawa Mirror published a follow-up survey asking: “In APC, who has the capacity to win the 2027 Gubernatorial election in Nasarawa State?” The post generated broad engagement and quickly became one of the most discussed political threads on the platform for the week.
As part of my ongoing political sentiment tracking, I conducted a comprehensive analysis of the comments, mentions, and emerging public narratives. Below is the summary of my findings, shared to provide context, clarity, and room for informed public engagement.
ENGAGEMENT AT A GLANCE
• 904 valid comments analyzed
• Over 1,600 total reactions recorded across thread
• One valid submission per commenter was counted to ensure neutrality and avoid duplication
TOP MENTIONED APC ASPIRANTS
1. Dr. Faisal Shuaib -252 mentions
2. Dr. Musa Ahmed Muhammed (Baraden Nasarawa) -233 mentions
3. Retired IGP Mohammed Adamu -184 mentions
4. Rt. Hon. Hassan Abubakar Nalaraba -146 mentions
5. Danladi Halilu Envulu-Anza (DHE) -137 mentions.
These five gubernatorial aspirants of the All Progressives Congress, APC, dominated the conversation, accounting for over 70 percent of all valid mentions.
SENATOR WADADA’S UNEXPECTED POSITION
Senator Ahmed Aliyu Wadada, who recently rejoined the All Progressives Congress (APC) and has been vigorous in his campaign to become governor, ranked sixth with 92 mentions. This outcome was unexpected, considering his political stature, financial strength, and the intensity of his ongoing mobilization efforts across the state. Senator Wadada’s campaign structure is strong and visible, yet the data shows that his online resonance has not fully reflected his ground presence.
OTHER ASPIRANTS MENTIONED
Beyond the leading six, several other names were also referenced in the discussion. Although their individual mention counts were lower, their inclusion demonstrates the breadth and inclusiveness of the ongoing political engagement within the APC.
ASPIRANT-SPECIFIC OBSERVATIONS
• Dr. Faisal Shuaib
Leads in total mentions and remains the most visible technocratic figure in the APC conversation. He continues to attract youth-driven and policy-based engagement around competence and reform.
• Dr. Musa Ahmed Muhammed (Baraden Nasarawa)
A close second with remarkable public approval. Barade enjoys traditional legitimacy, administrative experience, and grassroots connection. Comments consistently described him as stable, mature, and inclusive.
• Retired IGP Mohammed Abubakar Adamu
Commands respect across political lines. He is viewed as disciplined, composed, and trustworthy, with a strong record of public service.
• Hon. Abubakar Hassan Nalaraba
Rapidly gaining recognition and traction at the grassroots level. His expanding youth appeal and network within legislative circles highlight growing mobilization strength.
• Danladi Halilu Envulu-Anza (DHE)
Maintains a consistent level of public respect. His mentions, though fewer, portray him as competent, calm, and administratively grounded.
• Senator Aliyu Ahmed Wadada
Despite his vigorous and visible indirect campaign activities, he recorded fewer online mentions than expected. His sixth-place finish contrasts with his strong physical consultation campaign presence, suggesting that his offline dominance has not yet translated into digital engagement as far as this particular survey is concerned.
SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (Top 5 Aspirants)
• Positive: 27.1%
• Neutral: 71.6%
• Negative: 1.3%
Most of the comments were neutral, indicating that APC supporters are still assessing the options and have not yet aligned behind a single aspirant. Positive comments focused on leadership capacity, vision, and competence, while negative remarks were rare and largely issue-based.
INTERPRETATION AND INSIGHTS
1. Dr. Faisal Shuaib leads in overall visibility and remains dominant in digital discourse.
2. Dr. Musa Ahmed Muhammed (Baraden Nasarawa) continues to enjoy the most balanced sentiment and widest cultural and political appeal.
3. Hon. Abubakar Hassan Nalaraba represents a rising grassroots force with growing youth energy.
4. Retired IGP Mohammed Abubakar Adamu retains a reputation for credibility and discipline.
5. DHE sustains consistent engagement tied to competence and institutional knowledge.
6. Senator Wadada’s lower online performance, despite strong field activity, suggests an opportunity to bridge his offline momentum with digital reach.
The findings confirm that no single aspirant has consolidated dominance. Public opinion remains open, fluid, and competitive.
STRATEGIC INSIGHT
• The APC political conversation in Nasarawa remains civil, data-based, and capacity-driven.
• Digital perception is now a major influence channel but does not yet replace grassroots mobilization.
• The 70 percent neutral sentiment indicates that most party supporters are still weighing their choices.
CONCLUSION
The October 2025 Nasarawa Mirror Survey reaffirms that the APC field in Nasarawa State remains dynamic and competitive ahead of 2027.
Dr. Faisal Shuaib leads in mentions, while Dr. Musa Ahmed Muhammed (Baraden Nasarawa) maintains the strongest sentiment and broad appeal.
Hon. Abubakar Hassan Nalaraba continues to rise from the grassroots, and Senator Wadada’s sixth-place finish, despite his vigorous campaign, stands out as a critical insight into the gap between field strength and digital engagement.
The overall data reveals a mature and balanced political environment where multiple aspirants remain viable.
Data continues to tell the story before the ballot does.
Oriola A. Opeyemi
Public Affairs Analyst | Strategy Consultant | Election Management Expert