02/10/2026
Withdrawal of southwest Monsoon:
❖ The line of withdrawal of Southwest Monsoon continues to pass through 32.5°N/72.5°E, Gurdaspur,
Chandigarh, Muzaffarnagar, Aligarh, Dholpur, Udaipur, Deesa, Naliya and 23.0°N/67.8°E.
❖ Conditions are favourable for further withdrawal of southwest monsoon from remaining parts of Punjab,
Haryana, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh; most parts of Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh; entire Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal
Pradesh, Uttarakhand; some parts of Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, and Maharashtra during next 24 hours.
Weather Systems, Forecast and Warnings :
❖ Yesterday’s Low Pressure Area over North Myanmar and adjoining areas of southeast Bangladesh, Mizoram
& Northeast Bay of Bengal lay over North Myanmar and adjoining Mizoram-Tripura at 1730 hrs IST of
yesterday and became less marked at 0530 hrs IST of today, 02nd October. The remnant upper air cyclonic
circulation lies over North Myanmar and adjoining Mizoram-Tripura in lower & middle tropospheric levels at
0830 hrs IST of today, 02nd October.
❖ An upper air cyclonic circulation lies over Sikkim & neighbourhood in lower tropospheric levels
❖ An upper air cyclonic circulation lies over northeast Assam & neighbourhood in lower tropospheric levels.
❖ An upper air cyclonic circulation lies over Southeast Arabian sea off Keralam coast in lower tropospheric
level.
❖ A trough runs from Southeast Arabian sea to eastcentral Arabian sea in lower tropospheric level.
❖ An upper air cyclonic circulation lies over Southwest Bay of Bengal & adjoining Sri Lanka in lower
tropospheric level.
Under the influence of above systems, the following weather is likely:
Northwest India:
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad during 6th8th October; Himachal Pradesh during 5th-8th October; Uttarakhand during 5th-6th October and on 8th
October.
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over Punjab during 7th-8th October; Haryana Chandigarh & Delhi during
6th-8th October; West Uttar Pradesh during 6th-7th October; East Uttar Pradesh during 5th-8th October.
❖ Fairly Widespread to Widespread rainfall likely over Uttarakhand on 7th October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) likely
over Himachal Pradesh during 6th-7th October.
Central India:
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over West Madhya Pradesh on 8th October; East Madhya Pradesh during
6th-8th October; Chhattisgarh during 5th-8th October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) likely
over East Madhya Pradesh during 6th-8th October.
East India:
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Gangetic West Bengal and SubHimalayan West Bengal & Sikkim during 2nd-8th October; Bihar, Jharkhand and Odisha during 5th-8th
October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) likely
over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim during 2nd-4th October; Bihar during 6th-8th October.
Northeast India:
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur,
Mizoram & Tripura during 2nd-8th October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm & lightning likely over Arunachal Pradesh on 2nd October; Assam & Meghalaya and
Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura during 2nd-3rd October.
❖ Isolated heavy rainfall likely over Arunachal Pradesh during 3rd-4th October; Assam & Meghalaya and
Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura on 2nd October.
West India:
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over Konkan & Goa and Madhya Maharashtra during 5th-8th October;
Saurashtra & Kutch on 2nd October.
❖ Hot & Humid weather likely over coastal Maharashtra during 02nd -05th October.
South Peninsular India:
❖ Isolated to Scattered rainfall likely over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, North Interior Karnataka,
Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal during 2nd-8th October; Kerala & Mahe during 7th-8th
October; Lakshadweep during 4th-8th October; Coastal Karnataka on 2nd October and during 7th-8th October;
South Interior Karnataka during 2nd-4th October and during 7th-8th October; Telangana during 6th-7th
October.
❖ Fairly Widespread to Widespread rainfall likely over Kerala & Mahe during 2nd-6th October; Lakshadweep
during 2nd-3rd October; Coastal Karnataka during 3rd-6th October; South Interior Karnataka during 5th-6th
October.
❖ Isolated thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph) likely
over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal during 2nd-6th October; Kerala & Mahe during 4th-6th October, with
gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph) likely over Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep
during 2nd-3rd October; Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Rayalaseema during 2nd-6th October;
Telangana during 6th-7th October.
❖ Isolated heavy rainfall likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal during 4th-5th October; Kerala & Mahe
during 4th-6th October; South Interior Karnataka during 5th-6th October.
❖ Strong Surface Winds likely over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Rayalaseema during 2nd-6th October.