11/11/2025
Shakthi Media has released its first official exit poll assessment for the Jubilee Hills by-election, offering a detailed look into the constituency's sharply divided political landscape. The analysis reflects responses from a wide spectrum of voters, including youth, women, professionals, employees, business owners, gated community residents, slum settlements, senior citizens, and first-time voters, providing a broad and balanced picture of public sentiment.
Vote Share Projections (with margins of error)
Congress: 34 percent (±2 percent)
BJP: 33 percent (±3 percent)
BRS: 31 percent (±2 percent)
Others: 2 percent (±1 percent)
A Neck-to-Neck Three-Way Contest
The exit poll suggests that Jubilee Hills is heading toward one of the most closely fought contests in recent years. Congress appears to hold a slight lead with 34 percent, while the BJP is close behind at 33 percent, placing both parties in a virtual deadlock when statistical margins are considered. The BRS remains a strong contender with 31 percent, ensuring that the battle stays triangular and unpredictable until the final count.
War of Words Intensifies Between Parties
The constituency has also witnessed a rising war of words in recent days. The BRS and Congress have traded sharp accusations over development claims, leadership credibility, and alleged failures in the constituency. Meanwhile, the exchanges between the BJP and Congress have grown equally heated, with both parties attacking each other on governance, corruption charges, and campaign conduct. This escalating political rhetoric has added further intensity to an already competitive bypoll atmosphere.
Silent Vote Could Shift the Outcome
Analysts observe that the silent vote, particularly from undecided middle-class voters, young professionals, and first-time voters, could play a decisive role. This segment traditionally reveals its preferences only at the ballot box, and its final tilt may significantly influence the results.
Methodological Rigor and Survey Approach
Shakthi Media states that the exit poll follows rigorous polling standards, including demographically balanced sampling, structured interviews, and multi-stage validation. The survey covered multiple neighbourhood types and time intervals to maintain accuracy and neutrality.
Conclusion
Shakthi Media’s inaugural exit poll paints the Jubilee Hills by-election as a high-stakes, razor-close contest with no clear frontrunner. With Congress slightly ahead, and the BJP and BRS nearly matching its strength, the final outcome will likely depend on turnout patterns, late voter decisions, and the silent vote factor. The detailed analysis provides a credible and data-driven snapshot of the constituency’s evolving political landscape as it heads toward a tense and closely watched result.
